After following this story as closely as I was able to, and spending some time mulling over the facts, I’ve formulated a theory. Of course, this theory is subject to change upon the emergence of new information and evidence.
So let’s go over some of the facts.
We know that the evidence for the purported racist and sexist harassment of Kelly Marie Tran is nearly non-existent. What little evidence there is floating around on Twitter, we’ve been able to dismiss as either Photoshopped fakes or coming from the accounts of SJW hate hoaxers. In fact, there’s just as much evidence to suggest that Russian Bots were responsible for the online harassment.
The entire Kelly Marie Tran Instagram narrative hinges on the opinion expressed in a single tweet from the unverified user Star Wars Facts. The sentiments in that tweet were repeated over and over again in stories published by the legacy media and in social media posts by SJW activists. Tom Stafford of the BBC explains how this repetition of a lie works:
“Repeat a lie often enough and it becomes the truth”, is a law of propaganda often attributed to the Nazi Joseph Goebbels. Among psychologists something like this known as the “illusion of truth” effect. Here’s how a typical experiment on the effect works: participants rate how true trivia items are, things like “A prune is a dried plum”. Sometimes these items are true (like that one), but sometimes participants see a parallel version which isn’t true (something like “A date is a dried plum”).
So it’s no surprise that so many SJW rubes genuinely believed in this narrative wholesale and still do. It’s become their argumentum ad populum.
But the far more likely scenario, which I believe to be the truth, is that Kelly Marie Tran temporarily disabled her Instagram account in order to better comply with a Non-Disclosure Agreement while in production for Episode IX.
Firstly, the notorious Star Wars Facts tweet was incorrect. Kelly Marie Tran hadn’t deleted her Instagram account, but only temporarily disabled it. In fact, as of this writing, Kelly Marie Tran’s Instagram account is still there.
Secondly, we have to consider the message left on the disabled Instagram account. It reads, “Afraid, but doing it anyway.” What does this mean? Well, let’s rewrite that sentence in two different ways.
I’m afraid of racist and sexist online harassment, but I’m deleting my Instagram account anyway.
I’m afraid of performing in front of the camera, but I’m going to do it anyway.
To my mind, the second sentence seems a much better match for the potential meaning of Kelly Marie Tran’s Instagram message.
If Kelly Marie Tran was afraid of racist and sexist online harassment, then why would she disable her account because of it? What would the disabling of her account accomplish? It becomes increasingly fishy when we consider the later NY Times piece in which she purportedly declares, “I won’t be marginalized by online harassment.” But, that’s exactly what disabling her Instagram account in response to online harassment does; it marginalizes her. So these actions and statements conflict with one another. We’ll get into the NY Times piece a bit later.
But the bottom line here is that Kelly Marie Tran’s Instagram message makes far more sense if it’s in response to what performers routinely refer to as stage fright. The simpler answer is usually the correct one.
Thirdly, we know from previous statements that Kelly Marie Tran has made publicly, that it’s not out of the ordinary for her to cut off communication while in production.
Fourth, we know from Mark Hamill that there is a monetary incentive to comply with the NDA, a monetary incentive that is lost if the person doesn’t comply.
So why did Kelly Marie Tran write the NY Times piece, and take part in a Hollywood Reporter interview, where she seemed to confirm that it was all due to online harassment? Well, this is where it gets interesting.
When we examine the NY Times piece, we find that the clickbaity headline and the Editor’s Note, have little to nothing to do with the content in the body of the piece. They both appear to be afterthoughts from the Editor, who wanted to make sure those particular talking points were repeated without regard to what Kelly Marie Tran actually wrote. Remember, editors oftentimes write headlines. In fact much of the content in the piece seems to point fingers somewhat at the media, which echoes sentiments expressed by both Ahmed Best and Jake Lloyd. But she says nothing specific whatsoever about her Instagram account, or why she chose to disable it.
The Hollywood Reporter interview is much the same. Kelly Marie Tran pontificates about good and bad things with everything, and then quickly segues into the current project, Sorry for Your Loss. Again, she says nothing specific whatsoever about her Instagram account, or why she chose to disable it. She vaguely says that she doesn’t know if she’ll come back to social media, but not exactly why, or what might be keeping her away. No specifics.
She could easily state, “Yes, I left Instagram due to online sexist and racist harassment.” Or she could say, “No, I did not leave Instagram due to online sexist and racist harassment.” Either of those two sentences could easily be stated or written, and the matter put to bed once and for all. But she stated neither. Rather, she danced around the matter and avoided addressing it specifically.
KMT’s agent certainly could have put out such a statement as well, but didn’t.
This leads me to believe that she doesn’t want to state anything specific because she doesn’t want to get caught in a lie later on down the road. She’s misdirecting.
Adam Dachis from Lifehacker explains:
If you’ve ever seen a magic show, you know all about misdirection. Magicians direct their audience’s attention away from the trick so they don’t see what’s happening. Because we’re not paying attention, we miss the obvious and see what we’re asked to see. Let’s take a look at two common examples.
Lying takes effort. When you tell the truth, you simply remember something and say it. When you lie, you consider the truth, whether or not you want to share it, decide that you don’t, concoct a lie, and try to say that lie as naturally as you would the truth. Remembering all those steps is hard enough, but certainly not as hard as carrying them out in a matter of seconds. Misdirection still requires more work than truth-telling, but you don’t need to figure out a believable alternative to use it. Instead, you simply need to focus the subject’s attention on something else and let them concoct the lie using their own imagination.
She’s misdirecting the viewers away from the specifics of the Instagram incident and attempting to draw their attention to larger issues about good and bad things with everything.
Why is Kelly Marie Tran misdirecting? Simple.
Here’s a girl that gained instant stardom with The Last Jedi. This is all brand new to her. Suddenly she’s at the epicenter of a controversy. First, she disables her Instagram account. Then a simple tweet reports it. Then a flurry of articles are published which amplify the sentiments in that tweet. Then her peers around her start showering her with sympathy and grant her the SJW’s coveted victim status. Victim status is the first rung on the ladder to attaining social justice folk hero status.
As a result, she gets lauded as “leading the charge” against online harassers. People now come to her for advice about online harassment. It may even be good for her career because she’s getting interviewed as an experienced expert in online harassment. It would be interesting to see Kelly Marie Tran’s net worth prior to the June 4th Twitter posting by Star Wars Facts, and after it. Regardless, all of this new attention must be very intoxicating for a girl who has sadly stated previously that she felt the need to “redefine beauty.”
So here’s what I think happened.
She did disable her account due to an NDA. But when the media and her peers and professional colleagues around her started showering her with attention and bestowing her with authority, she simply went along with the narrative, because it was beneficial to her both emotionally, and potentially financially. Once this narrative snowballed as large as it did, there was no way KMT could possibly tell her friends that it wasn’t true, that she was just trying to comply with an NDA, even if it really wasn’t true. Imagine the disappointment, and possibly even anger, from her friends and colleagues if the narrative they wanted to believe in wasn’t true. There would likely have been enormous pressure on her both externally and internally to go with the narrative that the Star Wars Facts Twitter account started. It’s possible that she may even be directed by her agent to maintain the narrative as long as it remains beneficial to her and take advantage of it for all its worth. It’s possible that she may have even reached the point where she believes the lie herself.
But the thing about truth is, it always comes out eventually.
The private investigations industry has a saying, “Three can keep a secret if two are dead.” What this means is that most people simply cannot keep their mouths shut. That when you tell a secret to someone, that someone will tell another, who will tell another, and so on. Even if you trust that person, and tell that someone not to tell anyone else, they still will. The only way to keep something secret is to tell no one at all. So if someone out there knows what really happened to Kelly Marie Tran’s Instagram account other than herself, it will come out.
Now I want to be clear here, I am not vilifying Kelly Marie Tran. I am merely pointing out that Kelly Marie Tran is subject to the same human frailties, weaknesses, and temptations that we all are.
If new evidence or information is released that disproves my theory comes out, then I will be happy to report it.